Just Win the Close Ones?

Washington’s lack of point production this season has been well-documented, most recently by the AP’s Joe White this week.  Through 11 games, the Redskins’ 18.3 points per game ranks 27th out of 32 teams.

 

As we told you after Week 9 and after Week 11, a glimpse into points per 100 yards of total offense reveals the dichotomy of Jim Zorn’s offense.

 

What may be even more striking is the fact that this scoring rate has led to seven wins.  Consider that the five teams ranked worse than Washington have also won seven ballgames… combined.  Ranked from 28-32 are the Chiefs (1-10, 17.8), Lions (0-11, 17.5), Raiders (3-8, 14.5), Bengals (1-9-1, 13.5), and Rams (2-9, 13.4).  Looking at the individual games & scores within the greater framework of the entire NFL season is quite telling.

 

Excluding Cincinnati’s lone win, Washington:

  • Has the lowest average score in wins (23.0 in seven).  14 of the 31 teams with victories average more than 30 points when winning, and the NFL average is 28.6.
  • Leads the NFL in wins by fewer than 9 points (seven) and is the only team with all of its victories by 8 points or less.
  • Has the lowest average margin of victory (4.9).  22 teams have an average margin of victory of more than 10 points, and the NFL average is 12.1.
  • Leads the NFL in wins when scoring less than 30 points (seven) and is the only team with all of its victories coming when scoring 29 or fewer points.

 

In case you thought this phenomenon was limited to wins, the Redskins are also: 

  • The only team to have all 11 games won with a score of less than 30.  Only one other team (Pittsburgh – nine) has been in more than eight.  Just 97 of the 176 (55%) of NFL games this year have not featured a score of more than 29.
  • The only team to have played in four games where the winner scored less than 20 points.  Just 27% of all NFL games fall in this category, and 18 of the 32 teams have played in zero or one game like this in 2008.
  • The only team to have 10 of their 11 games decided by fewer than 10 points.  Just 51% of NFL games to date have been this close.
  • One of only four teams (Chargers, Vikings, Colts) to have plated in four or more games decided by a field goal or less.  41% of NFL games this year have been decided by 3 points or less.

 And then there’s these three guys…

 

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